Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -700 NEB +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -13.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -10.7 (-7.7) | 147.5 (-0.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -11.4 (-8.4) | 148.3 (-1.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -11.4 (-8.4) | 148.7 (-1.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -10.8 (-7.8) | 147.7 (-0.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2025 | MICH 49 – 46 NEB |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 MICH |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NEB 79 – 59 MICH |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MICH 93 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 2, 2022 | MICH 85 – 79 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 16-2 |
| Away | 11-0 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 29.8 (#1) | 19.7 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.41 (#5) | 5.78 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.28 (#5) | 7.60 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.689 (#1) | 0.674 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 2.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.2% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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