That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
Big Ten Conference · Crisler Center · January 28, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread MICH -11.5 Away covered
O/U 157.5 Under
Money MICH -700 / NEB +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total MICH win
Actual MICH +3 147 Won
Massey MICH -13.3 (-10.3)
Massey Totals 154.2 (-7.2)
Bradley-Terry 31%
Weighted B-T 33%
Baseline Plus ML MICH -11.4 (-8.4) 148.7 (-1.7) 79%
Model 4 ML MICH -11.4 (-8.4) 148.3 (-1.3) 82%
Model 3 ML MICH -10.7 (-7.7) 147.5 (-0.5) 83%
Baseline ML MICH -10.8 (-7.8) 147.7 (-0.7) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2025 MICH 4946 NEB
Mar 10, 2024 NEB 8570 MICH
Feb 10, 2024 NEB 7959 MICH
Feb 8, 2023 MICH 9372 NEB
Feb 2, 2022 MICH 8579 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MICH NEB
Overall 37-3 28-7
Conference 19-1 15-5
Home 14-1 16-2
Away 11-0 7-3
Neutral 12-2 5-2
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak W6 L1
Avg Pts For 87.3 77.0
Avg Pts Against 69.5 66.1
Massey 29.8 (#1) 19.7 (#15)
Bradley-Terry 4.41 (#5) 5.78 (#2)
W. Bradley-Terry 6.28 (#5) 7.60 (#2)
RPI 0.689 (#1) 0.674 (#5)
Shooting & Four Factors MICH NEB
FG% 51.7% 47.6%
3PT% 35.0% 35.5%
REB / G 42.3 36.5
OREB / G 11.5 8.9
AST / TO 1.56 2.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 59.2% 56.6%
TOV% 16.5% 13.1%
ORB% 35.6% 26.7%
FT Rate 29.9% 21.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 42.9% 46.7%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 18.8%
DRB% 72.0% 73.4%
Opp FT Rate 19.4% 16.1%

Game Analysis

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