Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -700 NEB +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +21 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -7.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -5.9 (+15.1) | 137.1 (+27.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -7.4 (+13.6) | 137.2 (+27.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -6.3 (+14.7) | 137.4 (+27.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -6.4 (+14.6) | 138.0 (+27.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MICH 75 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2025 | MICH 49 – 46 NEB |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 MICH |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NEB 79 – 59 MICH |
| Feb 2, 2022 | MICH 85 – 79 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#67) | 4.2 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#67) | 1.07 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#53) | 1.37 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#88) | 0.531 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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