Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SBU -250 DUQ +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -7.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -4.6 (-10.6) | 135.5 (+8.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -5.4 (-11.4) | 135.6 (+8.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -5.4 (-11.4) | 135.0 (+9.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -5.6 (-11.6) | 136.7 (+7.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUQ 78 – 73 SBU |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SBU 87 – 79 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SBU 64 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SBU 70 – 63 DUQ |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DUQ 75 – 57 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#72) | 4.4 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#103) | 0.92 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#100) | 1.12 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#86) | 0.563 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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