Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -125 MONT +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +16 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -0.1 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -0.8 (+16.8) | 151.8 (+6.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -0.0 (+16.0) | 154.6 (+3.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -0.1 (+15.9) | 155.8 (+2.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -0.3 (+16.3) | 155.7 (+2.3) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONT 95 – 89 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 57 MONT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MONT 88 – 79 UNCO |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MONT 91 – 83 UNCO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONT 86 – 78 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#191) | 1.6 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#164) | 0.59 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#167) | 0.51 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#164) | 0.537 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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