Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Conference USA · Pete Mathews Coliseum · February 10, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -1.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money JXST -120 / WKU +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual WKU +11 129 Lost
Massey JXST -1.7 (-12.7)
Massey Totals 143.4 (-14.4)
Bradley-Terry 41%
Weighted B-T 51%
Efficiency Plus ML JXST -0.5 (-11.5) 143.7 (-14.7) 49%
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -0.4 (-11.4) 143.8 (-14.8) 53%
Baseline ML WKU -0.0 (-11.0) 145.6 (-16.6) 50%
Baseline Plus ML JXST -0.5 (-11.5) 146.4 (-17.4) 48%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 JXST 7166 WKU
Dec 30, 2025 JXST 7867 WKU
Feb 8, 2025 JXST 8583 WKU
Jan 10, 2025 JXST 7367 WKU
Jan 13, 2024 WKU 8069 JXST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JXST WKU
Overall 14-18 22-12
Conference 6-10 8-8
Home 8-7 12-2
Away 5-10 6-7
Neutral 1-1 4-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 67.2 78.8
Avg Pts Against 67.6 74.7
Massey -0.5 (#171) 1.1 (#147)
Bradley-Terry -0.58 (#227) 0.41 (#138)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.17 (#184) 0.48 (#144)
RPI 0.465 (#241) 0.516 (#143)
Shooting & Four Factors JXST WKU
FG% 44.3% 46.6%
3PT% 31.0% 34.6%
REB / G 36.3 38.9
OREB / G 11.7 10.4
AST / TO 0.76 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 51.8%
TOV% 20.2% 18.8%
ORB% 34.0% 29.0%
FT Rate 23.8% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 48.1%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 18.4%
DRB% 73.7% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 24.3% 22.3%

Game Analysis

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