What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
Conference USA · E.A. Diddle Arena · January 10, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money WKU -280 / JXST +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual JXST +6 140 Lost
Massey WKU -4.5 (-10.5)
Massey Totals 155.6 (-15.6)
Bradley-Terry 86%
Weighted B-T 84%
Baseline Plus ML WKU -4.0 (-10.0) 151.2 (-11.2) 68%
Model 4 ML WKU -2.3 (-8.3) 148.9 (-8.9) 66%
Model 3 ML WKU -3.3 (-9.3) 149.5 (-9.5) 67%
Baseline ML WKU -3.5 (-9.5) 151.0 (-11.0) 66%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 JXST 7166 WKU
Dec 30, 2025 JXST 7867 WKU
Feb 8, 2025 JXST 8583 WKU
Feb 10, 2024 WKU 7059 JXST
Jan 13, 2024 WKU 8069 JXST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WKU JXST
Overall 17-15 23-13
Conference 8-10 12-6
Home 13-5 12-2
Away 4-9 8-8
Neutral 0-1 3-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 73.3 70.9
Avg Pts Against 74.8 69.3
Massey 1.6 (#134) 1.1 (#145)
Bradley-Terry 0.83 (#106) -0.23 (#191)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.59 (#137) -0.21 (#182)
RPI 0.545 (#90) 0.499 (#171)
Shooting & Four Factors WKU JXST
FG% 42.8% 45.5%
3PT% 32.1% 36.9%
REB / G 38.5 38.2
OREB / G 8.8 10.7
AST / TO 0.81 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 52.3%
TOV% 17.4% 15.7%
ORB% 22.6% 32.3%
FT Rate 25.9% 25.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 10.5%
DRB% 72.6% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 30.1% 19.3%

Game Analysis

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