He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
Conference USA · Pete Mathews Coliseum · February 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -3.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money JXST -170 / WKU +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual JXST +2 168 Won
Massey JXST -3.8 (-1.8)
Massey Totals 146.7 (+21.3)
Bradley-Terry 72%
Weighted B-T 79%
Baseline Plus ML JXST -4.1 (-2.1) 144.8 (+23.2) 72%
Model 4 ML JXST -2.8 (-0.8) 142.5 (+25.5) 64%
Model 3 ML JXST -3.7 (-1.7) 142.1 (+25.9) 72%
Baseline ML JXST -3.8 (-1.8) 142.2 (+25.8) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 JXST 7166 WKU
Dec 30, 2025 JXST 7867 WKU
Jan 10, 2025 JXST 7367 WKU
Feb 10, 2024 WKU 7059 JXST
Jan 13, 2024 WKU 8069 JXST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JXST WKU
Overall 23-13 17-15
Conference 12-6 8-10
Home 12-2 13-5
Away 8-8 4-9
Neutral 3-3 0-1
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 70.9 73.3
Avg Pts Against 69.3 74.8
Massey 2.9 (#117) 2.3 (#127)
Bradley-Terry 1.03 (#88) 0.62 (#119)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.18 (#92) 0.52 (#135)
RPI 0.566 (#63) 0.542 (#103)
Shooting & Four Factors JXST WKU
FG% 44.7% 42.4%
3PT% 35.4% 32.5%
REB / G 38.2 37.8
OREB / G 10.8 8.9
AST / TO 1.09 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 48.8%
TOV% 15.7% 16.2%
ORB% 31.7% 23.0%
FT Rate 23.2% 24.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 47.0%
Opp TOV% 11.8% 18.1%
DRB% 73.1% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 18.1% 29.4%

Game Analysis

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