Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -225 JXST +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -3.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (+17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -1.9 (+9.1) | 135.5 (+13.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -2.0 (+9.0) | 134.1 (+14.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -1.5 (+9.5) | 133.8 (+15.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -1.7 (+9.3) | 134.3 (+14.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | JXST 71 – 66 WKU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | JXST 78 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | JXST 85 – 83 WKU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | JXST 73 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | WKU 70 – 59 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#155) | 1.8 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#113) | -0.43 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#134) | 0.22 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#121) | 0.483 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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