Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -275 AKR +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +14 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -6.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -6.1 (+7.9) | 143.0 (-11.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -6.9 (+7.1) | 142.4 (-10.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -6.7 (+7.3) | 143.2 (-11.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -5.9 (+8.1) | 144.4 (-12.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2025 | AKR 85 – 71 JMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-4 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-1 |
| Away | 12-2 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#63) | 6.3 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#55) | 1.35 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#65) | 1.76 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#109) | 0.574 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.