Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -110 ALST +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -0.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.4 (+18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -1.7 (+4.3) | 127.8 (+14.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -0.6 (+5.4) | 128.5 (+13.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -0.8 (+5.2) | 127.1 (+14.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -0.8 (+5.2) | 130.5 (+11.5) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | GRAM 65 – 63 ALST |
| Feb 7, 2026 | GRAM 57 – 47 ALST |
| Mar 14, 2025 | ALST 64 – 62 GRAM |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ALST 59 – 47 GRAM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | GRAM 77 – 67 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#314) | -6.8 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#271) | -0.72 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#262) | -1.06 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#247) | 0.470 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 36.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 41.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.