Betting Lines
| Spread | TROY -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | TROY -225 KENT +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TROY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TROY +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | TROY -5.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TROY -6.0 (+4.0) | 146.3 (-0.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TROY -7.4 (+2.6) | 147.5 (-1.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TROY -6.5 (+3.5) | 147.4 (-1.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TROY -6.1 (+3.9) | 148.4 (-2.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2025 | TROY 103 – 97 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TROY | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#135) | -0.3 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#155) | -0.31 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#131) | -0.33 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#128) | 0.490 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TROY | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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