Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SOU -450 AAMU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | SOU -14.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -12.9 (-5.9) | 146.3 (-15.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -10.4 (-3.4) | 145.4 (-14.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -11.6 (-4.6) | 144.5 (-13.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -11.8 (-4.8) | 144.7 (-13.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SOU 88 – 85 AAMU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SOU 81 – 68 AAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SOU 71 – 57 AAMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SOU 81 – 68 AAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AAMU 66 – 56 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SOU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-11 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#237) | -14.5 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#161) | -1.92 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#179) | -2.80 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#156) | 0.399 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SOU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 35.1% |
Game Analysis
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