Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | WCU -275 MER +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +33 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -8.9 (+24.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -6.7 (+26.3) | 138.6 (-13.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -7.6 (+25.4) | 138.9 (-13.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -7.0 (+26.0) | 139.3 (-14.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -7.7 (+25.3) | 141.2 (-16.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | WCU 77 – 73 MER |
| Feb 26, 2026 | WCU 78 – 74 MER |
| Jan 22, 2026 | MER 88 – 76 WCU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | MER 67 – 66 WCU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MER 81 – 69 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 10-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#132) | -3.2 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#118) | -0.63 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#121) | -0.93 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#120) | 0.474 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.