Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 170.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -250 KENN +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +6 | 196 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -8.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.0 (+23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -6.3 (-0.3) | 169.4 (+26.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -6.3 (-0.3) | 167.2 (+28.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -7.2 (-1.2) | 168.0 (+28.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -6.7 (-0.7) | 166.9 (+29.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | KENN 80 – 71 LIP |
| Jan 28, 2023 | KENN 85 – 72 LIP |
| Jan 22, 2022 | LIP 77 – 73 KENN |
| Feb 21, 2021 | LIP 77 – 63 KENN |
| Feb 20, 2021 | LIP 76 – 62 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#173) | -5.3 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#160) | -0.64 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#170) | -0.76 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#165) | 0.444 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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