Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -250 LIP +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -4.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -5.0 (+4.0) | 148.9 (+2.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -4.0 (+5.0) | 148.2 (+2.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -4.8 (+4.2) | 150.4 (+0.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -4.3 (+4.7) | 150.5 (+0.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2024 | LIP 101 – 95 KENN |
| Jan 28, 2023 | KENN 85 – 72 LIP |
| Jan 22, 2022 | LIP 77 – 73 KENN |
| Feb 21, 2021 | LIP 77 – 63 KENN |
| Feb 20, 2021 | LIP 76 – 62 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 10-6 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#135) | 0.5 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#75) | 0.28 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#95) | 0.36 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#56) | 0.518 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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