Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
Kennesaw State Owls
85 72
FINAL Conference
Lipscomb Bisons
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · January 28, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -4.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money KENN -175 / LIP +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual KENN +13 157 Won
Massey KENN -5.4 (+7.6)
Massey Totals 144.0 (+13.0)
Bradley-Terry 90%
Weighted B-T 89%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -5.6 (+7.4) 144.0 (+13.0) 76%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -5.8 (+7.2) 145.4 (+11.6) 76%
Baseline ML KENN -6.3 (+6.7) 146.0 (+11.0) 74%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -6.0 (+7.0) 145.0 (+12.0) 74%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2024 LIP 10195 KENN
Mar 3, 2023 KENN 8071 LIP
Jan 22, 2022 LIP 7773 KENN
Feb 21, 2021 LIP 7763 KENN
Feb 20, 2021 LIP 7662 KENN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN LIP
Overall 26-9 20-13
Conference 15-3 11-7
Home 15-1 13-2
Away 10-6 7-11
Neutral 1-2 0-0
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.5 74.7
Avg Pts Against 70.9 72.6
Massey 1.2 (#149) -0.7 (#186)
Bradley-Terry 1.22 (#77) -0.37 (#214)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.94 (#106) -0.44 (#210)
RPI 0.569 (#66) 0.480 (#217)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN LIP
FG% 46.0% 46.7%
3PT% 38.5% 34.0%
REB / G 34.2 34.9
OREB / G 9.4 8.7
AST / TO 1.10 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.1% 53.5%
TOV% 19.0% 18.9%
ORB% 27.8% 27.1%
FT Rate 23.1% 17.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 20.4% 16.8%
DRB% 74.4% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 26.2% 16.4%

Game Analysis

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