Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -175 LIP +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +13 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -5.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -5.8 (+7.2) | 145.4 (+11.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -5.6 (+7.4) | 144.0 (+13.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -6.0 (+7.0) | 145.0 (+12.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -6.3 (+6.7) | 146.0 (+11.0) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2024 | LIP 101 – 95 KENN |
| Mar 3, 2023 | KENN 80 – 71 LIP |
| Jan 22, 2022 | LIP 77 – 73 KENN |
| Feb 21, 2021 | LIP 77 – 63 KENN |
| Feb 20, 2021 | LIP 76 – 62 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 10-6 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#149) | -0.7 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#77) | -0.37 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#106) | -0.44 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#66) | 0.480 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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