Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -800 KENN +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +14 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -11.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -9.9 (+4.1) | 137.3 (+2.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -8.2 (+5.8) | 137.5 (+2.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -10.6 (+3.4) | 136.7 (+3.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -9.7 (+4.3) | 137.9 (+2.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2024 | LIP 101 – 95 KENN |
| Mar 3, 2023 | KENN 80 – 71 LIP |
| Jan 28, 2023 | KENN 85 – 72 LIP |
| Jan 22, 2022 | LIP 77 – 73 KENN |
| Feb 20, 2021 | LIP 76 – 62 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 2-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 4-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 62.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#235) | -13.2 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#219) | -3.62 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#215) | -3.97 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#186) | 0.381 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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