Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -350 COR +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +2 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -4.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -3.7 (-1.7) | 147.6 (+10.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -3.0 (-1.0) | 148.9 (+9.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -3.4 (-1.4) | 150.9 (+7.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -3.6 (-1.6) | 148.8 (+9.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | YALE 88 – 76 COR |
| Feb 27, 2026 | COR 72 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | YALE 102 – 68 COR |
| Mar 16, 2025 | YALE 90 – 84 COR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Home | 9-2 | 10-1 |
| Away | 9-6 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#87) | 5.6 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#74) | 2.02 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#77) | 2.26 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#40) | 0.590 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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