Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -150 CMU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +1 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | ODU -3.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -4.7 (-5.7) | 139.6 (-24.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -1.2 (-2.2) | 138.1 (-23.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -1.4 (-2.4) | 139.5 (-24.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -2.0 (-3.0) | 142.0 (-27.0) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-10 | 10-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#278) | -6.5 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#314) | 0.23 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#301) | -0.26 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#332) | 0.507 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.