I want the bomb, I want the P-Funk, I want my funk uncut. "P-Funk (Wants to Get Funked Up)" - Parliament
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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79–40 on winners spread MAE 9.6 119 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Michigan @ Purdue -3.3 138.3 38% 70–53 ✓
Kennesaw State @ North Florida +6.9 132.4 73% 54–69 ✓
Marist @ Rider +0.6 136.2 52% 64–76 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Siena +5.0 132.0 68% 68–62 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris +3.8 139.1 63% 81–76 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Oakland -1.5 155.8 45% 81–86 ✗
Jacksonville @ North Alabama +4.6 136.7 66% 81–82 ✓
Stetson @ Bellarmine +5.0 139.2 68% 62–67 ✓
Texas State @ UL Monroe -6.5 127.4 28% 57–47 ✓
Little Rock @ UT Arlington +0.1 152.0 50% 66–59 ✗
Arkansas State @ Louisiana +11.8 143.6 86% 68–81 ✓
Georgia Southern @ South Alabama +8.3 146.1 77% 84–75 ✗
Marshall @ Florida International -9.1 161.9 21% 79–66 ✓
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +0.9 124.4 53% 53–66 ✓
Southern Miss @ UTSA +0.7 144.6 52% 64–70 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge -6.2 147.5 29% 105–58 ✓
UC Davis @ UC San Diego -9.4 148.9 20% 69–89 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside +7.0 119.1 74% 47–45 ✗
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +20.0 135.5 97% 49–68 ✓
Rice @ UAB +13.1 138.4 88% 68–78 ✓
Nevada @ Wyoming -4.3 157.7 35% 64–71 ✗
South Dakota @ Western Illinois -8.8 144.3 21% 65–60 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb +6.5 136.2 72% 79–69 ✗
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton -4.5 154.9 34% 67–83 ✗
Denver @ North Dakota State +17.9 139.4 95% 58–70 ✓
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +15.6 144.1 92% 73–92 ✓
San Diego State @ Air Force -13.8 116.8 11% 98–61 ✓
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State +2.9 131.8 60% 53–64 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ UTEP +1.0 139.1 54% 74–82 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Utah Tech -13.8 140.1 10% 77–74 ✓
Houston @ Temple -12.6 127.4 13% 68–51 ✓
Kansas @ Oklahoma +1.9 142.1 57% 68–75 ✓
UConn @ Creighton +5.0 142.3 67% 66–74 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Syracuse +2.4 145.4 59% 60–78 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ American University +0.1 143.8 50% 70–71 ✓
Auburn @ South Carolina +1.9 151.9 57% 109–86 ✗
Wright State @ IU Indianapolis -16.2 142.5 7% 100–72 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga +0.0 137.2 50% 74–66 ✗
Kent State @ Toledo +3.3 159.2 62% 74–76 ✓
James Madison @ Northeastern +4.4 139.2 65% 63–72 ✓
George Mason @ Saint Joseph's +0.9 155.3 53% 71–62 ✗
Drexel @ William & Mary -4.3 133.1 35% 79–64 ✓
Norfolk State @ Coppin State -4.8 147.2 33% 71–81 ✗
Arkansas @ Vanderbilt -10.0 154.9 18% 92–71 ✓
Delaware @ UNC Wilmington +8.9 136.3 79% 70–77 ✓
Ball State @ Ohio +5.6 155.0 70% 77–85 ✓
Baylor @ Oklahoma State -10.9 150.2 16% 81–66 ✓
Maryland @ Minnesota +5.2 151.7 68% 63–49 ✗
Stony Brook @ NJIT +5.4 144.7 69% 65–74 ✓
SMU @ UCF -1.5 141.2 45% 78–65 ✓
San José State @ New Mexico +8.3 138.9 77% 83–71 ✗
NC State @ North Carolina +5.4 146.0 69% 76–86 ✓
Lehigh @ Holy Cross +7.5 148.6 75% 75–72 ✗
Florida @ Georgia -6.5 155.7 28% 92–84 ✓
UAlbany @ New Hampshire +0.5 134.5 52% 64–71 ✓
Marshall @ Florida International -9.1 161.9 21% 89–72 ✓
VMI @ Mercer +8.0 160.0 77% 80–83 ✓
Towson @ Hofstra +6.8 145.6 73% 58–71 ✓
Weber State @ Southern Utah -6.4 164.0 28% 72–77 ✗
Montana State @ Northern Arizona -7.6 139.0 24% 58–53 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado -3.2 141.9 39% 82–76 ✓
Montana @ Sacramento State -0.5 121.5 48% 83–89 ✗
Providence @ Villanova +10.7 148.9 84% 56–71 ✓
La Salle @ Richmond +15.7 143.0 92% 84–78 ✗
Army @ Navy -0.4 136.4 48% 62–69 ✗
Clemson @ Florida State +6.9 136.7 73% 61–80 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word +3.9 135.1 64% 53–72 ✓
Troy @ Coastal Carolina +14.3 136.9 90% 65–70 ✓
Southern @ Alabama A&M +3.6 150.2 63% 58–68 ✓
Idaho State @ Portland State +0.8 130.3 53% 43–69 ✓
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss +10.3 119.3 82% 50–61 ✓
Ohio State @ Wisconsin +4.1 136.3 64% 74–62 ✗
West Virginia @ Kansas State -11.2 138.3 16% 69–47 ✓
Utah Valley @ St. John's +9.9 160.7 82% 78–96 ✓
Niagara @ Quinnipiac -0.7 124.5 47% 69–78 ✗
Duke @ Louisville +6.5 140.6 72% 65–70 ✓
Boston University @ Lafayette +14.4 154.4 90% 81–76 ✗
UT Martin @ Morehead State +16.9 135.4 94% 44–76 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Abilene Christian +16.1 137.0 93% 58–93 ✓
Georgia State @ App State -4.8 150.5 33% 61–74 ✗
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +0.9 124.4 53% 74–71 ✗
Southern Miss @ UTSA +0.7 144.6 52% 72–78 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -24.4 145.6 1% 77–31 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wofford +10.4 152.6 83% 78–91 ✓
Furman @ East Tennessee State -4.5 142.3 34% 62–71 ✗
Dayton @ VCU +8.6 136.8 78% 43–66 ✓
UCLA @ Stanford +1.0 144.2 53% 72–73 ✓
Kennesaw State @ North Florida +6.9 132.4 73% 65–68 ✓
Northwestern State @ SE Louisiana +1.9 150.9 57% 73–68 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Green Bay -0.2 158.7 49% 72–87 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris +3.8 139.1 63% 79–74 ✗
UIC @ Youngstown State -1.8 142.5 43% 77–85 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Oakland -1.5 155.8 45% 82–72 ✓
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State +2.9 131.8 60% 81–80 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State -0.6 141.6 48% 54–65 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Belmont +12.9 149.8 88% 62–114 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Austin Peay -2.2 140.3 42% 76–70 ✓
Stetson @ Bellarmine +5.0 139.2 68% 65–76 ✓
Texas State @ UL Monroe -6.5 127.4 28% 69–63 ✓
Georgia Southern @ South Alabama +8.3 146.1 77% 48–62 ✓
Arkansas State @ Louisiana +11.8 143.6 86% 74–77 ✓
Little Rock @ UT Arlington +0.1 152.0 50% 61–66 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee -10.2 132.6 18% 82–67 ✓
Rice @ UAB +13.1 138.4 88% 74–86 ✓
San Diego @ Portland +0.5 150.0 52% 78–70 ✗
Jackson State @ Grambling +7.3 125.7 75% 75–61 ✗
Akron @ Western Michigan -7.9 133.6 24% 79–68 ✓
UC Davis @ UC San Diego -9.4 148.9 20% 78–71 ✓
Lamar @ Stephen F. Austin +14.2 140.7 90% 72–102 ✓
Alcorn State @ Alabama State -1.7 137.0 44% 57–52 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Eastern Michigan -5.7 142.0 30% 85–63 ✓
Mississippi State @ Alabama +15.4 152.0 92% 73–81 ✓
Valparaiso @ Illinois State +4.4 138.2 65% 69–60 ✗
DePaul @ Marquette +10.8 144.2 84% 68–61 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Nicholls +9.1 150.7 80% 62–86 ✓
McNeese @ Houston Christian +10.4 166.7 83% 74–71 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest -1.0 139.7 46% 75–76 ✗
LSU @ Kentucky -4.1 147.7 35% 69–82 ✗
Texas Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -13.1 150.4 12% 66–57 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.