Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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91–29 on winners spread MAE 8.6 120 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Villanova @ Georgetown -10.2 139.9 18% 70–54 ✓
VCU @ Saint Louis -6.7 142.8 24% 95–85 ✓
Siena @ Saint Peter's +11.7 124.6 86% 53–75 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Rider +0.6 144.2 53% 57–61 ✓
Manhattan @ Iona +13.3 145.2 87% 63–73 ✓
Niagara @ Fairfield +5.6 145.8 72% 65–63 ✗
Canisius @ Marist +3.0 133.2 67% 55–78 ✓
Dartmouth @ Columbia +8.8 135.2 85% 63–73 ✓
Yale @ Pennsylvania -4.3 137.5 28% 76–62 ✓
Brown @ Princeton +14.3 139.1 86% 63–72 ✓
Jacksonville @ Queens University +2.7 148.7 61% 65–74 ✓
North Florida @ Kennesaw State +3.6 158.2 62% 82–81 ✗
Ohio @ Toledo +6.3 159.0 77% 83–85 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State +4.4 149.2 75% 70–81 ✓
Texas Tech @ Iowa State +8.3 137.6 83% 74–82 ✓
Texas A&M @ Alabama +11.4 157.0 82% 75–100 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia +2.3 122.6 64% 47–49 ✓
TCU @ Kansas State -0.4 145.5 53% 75–72 ✓
Penn State @ Nebraska +6.3 150.8 76% 49–68 ✓
Creighton @ Butler -1.3 155.6 42% 79–57 ✓
Richmond @ George Washington -5.3 149.2 33% 90–74 ✓
Texas @ Houston +12.4 130.6 86% 61–82 ✓
Navy @ Boston University +3.8 131.2 60% 65–74 ✓
Florida @ Georgia -3.9 159.2 40% 88–82 ✓
Saint Francis @ Fairleigh Dickinson +4.9 145.3 73% 74–93 ✓
VMI @ The Citadel +11.6 146.0 88% 51–76 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +6.6 158.0 73% 71–101 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy -10.2 147.1 19% 83–69 ✓
UAlbany @ UMBC +0.9 164.5 61% 75–80 ✓
Fordham @ Dayton +14.0 141.6 89% 70–78 ✓
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina +10.7 150.2 85% 81–96 ✓
Duke @ Florida State -4.5 148.8 29% 76–67 ✓
BYU @ Oklahoma State -9.4 148.7 26% 83–93 ✗
Valparaiso @ Missouri State +10.7 145.9 87% 74–82 ✓
Longwood @ Presbyterian -4.1 142.0 29% 81–73 ✓
Towson @ Hampton -12.6 133.9 16% 61–67 ✗
Northeastern @ Hofstra +9.9 138.2 82% 62–82 ✓
Delaware @ North Carolina A&T -10.1 140.7 19% 62–54 ✓
Campbell @ Drexel +10.0 135.8 86% 66–81 ✓
Army @ Holy Cross -3.9 128.7 35% 59–53 ✓
Arkansas @ Mississippi State +11.2 146.6 87% 67–71 ✓
Massachusetts @ La Salle -7.1 150.8 29% 81–82 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Lehigh +6.8 137.9 81% 70–75 ✓
Bucknell @ Colgate +13.2 132.7 87% 50–62 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Stetson +4.7 140.0 70% 60–61 ✓
Stonehill @ Le Moyne +9.9 143.6 86% 67–75 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Kent State +9.8 148.2 82% 47–85 ✓
Akron @ Buffalo -14.4 135.6 14% 73–62 ✓
Samford @ Mercer -8.3 147.2 21% 84–88 ✗
Marshall @ Coastal Carolina -4.2 152.8 33% 67–74 ✗
Wisconsin @ Iowa -0.3 149.5 51% 86–88 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Duquesne +2.2 143.7 69% 56–66 ✓
Marquette @ UConn +8.2 143.1 79% 53–81 ✓
Rice @ Tulsa +2.9 146.6 68% 82–93 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama A&M +11.6 133.6 88% 57–80 ✓
Long Island University @ Merrimack +12.9 140.0 87% 68–83 ✓
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State -2.3 149.2 48% 73–81 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Oakland +18.5 147.8 90% 59–107 ✓
Vermont @ Maine -4.5 127.3 28% 68–57 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin +8.8 145.5 79% 63–62 ✗
Florida International @ Louisiana Tech +14.7 139.9 88% 68–75 ✓
New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky +8.5 148.0 83% 58–72 ✓
LSU @ South Carolina +4.2 141.5 74% 64–63 ✗
Davidson @ St. Bonaventure +4.7 133.7 71% 80–81 ✓
Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan -5.5 146.4 33% 60–69 ✗
Ball State @ Miami (OH) +1.0 139.5 56% 59–80 ✓
Binghamton @ NJIT -1.3 138.0 43% 69–55 ✓
Texas State @ Southern Miss +3.0 132.1 67% 74–78 ✓
Kansas @ Oklahoma +2.4 138.5 56% 67–57 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Howard +1.4 141.5 55% 82–90 ✓
Miami @ Boston College +0.4 145.3 56% 77–85 ✓
Cincinnati @ UCF +0.2 138.4 52% 76–74 ✗
Stony Brook @ Monmouth +3.0 145.4 70% 61–84 ✓
Lafayette @ American University +4.4 131.4 62% 68–62 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +7.9 136.2 79% 67–71 ✓
Delaware State @ Coppin State -5.5 129.6 23% 66–56 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Wagner +2.8 131.5 57% 63–53 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina +6.3 138.9 74% 65–70 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Little Rock +8.5 146.0 80% 62–80 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Bryant +0.4 154.3 59% 86–77 ✗
North Dakota State @ Denver +2.9 158.9 60% 71–77 ✓
McNeese @ Nicholls -8.3 141.4 20% 74–47 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alcorn State +4.0 142.0 70% 54–69 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Santa Barbara +0.6 139.1 56% 71–77 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Morgan State +2.6 143.2 62% 65–70 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ South Carolina Upstate -1.0 145.7 45% 73–65 ✓
Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville +10.8 145.9 87% 55–86 ✓
Western Illinois @ Tennessee State -0.5 130.4 47% 68–61 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ SIU Edwardsville +9.7 139.5 85% 76–80 ✓
Morehead State @ UT Martin -3.6 144.9 38% 82–88 ✗
Lindenwood @ Eastern Illinois +8.3 130.3 81% 57–72 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama -1.6 154.1 48% 76–73 ✓
Louisiana @ App State +4.2 146.6 66% 73–85 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +11.2 136.7 84% 63–86 ✓
Houston Christian @ SE Louisiana +10.9 143.3 88% 78–81 ✓
Lipscomb @ Central Arkansas -8.6 151.5 22% 85–68 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Davis +4.0 137.8 66% 67–61 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State -4.9 140.9 25% 80–75 ✓
Idaho State @ Idaho -0.2 136.2 48% 53–55 ✗
Weber State @ Eastern Washington +3.2 142.1 68% 90–84 ✗
Illinois @ Maryland -2.3 139.0 52% 85–80 ✓
Syracuse @ Georgia Tech -0.7 147.0 57% 60–65 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State +7.2 149.4 71% 80–74 ✗
UL Monroe @ Troy +11.8 147.4 86% 57–85 ✓
Lamar @ New Orleans -5.4 156.8 34% 94–72 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State +2.6 140.6 70% 55–75 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Tennessee +17.2 144.2 90% 53–88 ✓
Baylor @ West Virginia -11.2 144.6 18% 94–81 ✓
Kentucky @ Auburn +9.3 161.7 78% 70–59 ✗
Stanford @ Washington State +9.1 144.3 83% 59–72 ✓
Grambling @ Texas Southern +3.7 133.6 56% 66–63 ✗
Dartmouth @ Cornell +16.4 143.0 90% 80–89 ✓
Harvard @ Columbia +0.9 142.3 59% 80–75 ✗
Georgia Southern @ James Madison +17.4 156.2 90% 80–87 ✓
Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word +1.1 142.8 48% 81–61 ✗
Brown @ Pennsylvania +5.3 140.0 68% 71–64 ✗
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee -0.9 133.4 51% 90–96 ✗
Louisville @ Pittsburgh +15.5 145.1 89% 59–86 ✓
Southern @ Prairie View A&M -2.8 144.4 33% 77–71 ✓
Florida A&M @ Jackson State +9.3 140.8 82% 55–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.