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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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43–16 on winners spread MAE 10.0 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois -3.5 149.8 43% 69–74 ✗
Radford @ High Point +8.1 147.9 83% 74–99 ✓
Elon @ UNC Wilmington +16.2 146.6 88% 73–72 ✗
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan +3.1 136.3 68% 42–69 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Wofford +0.1 143.9 49% 58–47 ✗
Georgia State @ Old Dominion +1.0 145.5 55% 68–65 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Bellarmine -4.1 146.6 38% 75–65 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego +9.3 137.6 84% 69–76 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Portland State +5.5 144.1 74% 68–83 ✓
Fresno State @ Boise State +14.6 137.9 88% 66–90 ✓
DePaul @ Providence +17.7 143.5 90% 70–81 ✓
UT Arlington @ UT Rio Grande Valley -6.8 151.8 29% 89–70 ✓
Liberty @ Sam Houston -1.7 136.2 51% 73–83 ✗
NC State @ Clemson +8.3 144.1 76% 78–77 ✗
California @ Washington +10.0 156.3 83% 82–80 ✗
Michigan State @ Michigan -6.1 140.8 25% 73–63 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Milwaukee +0.6 149.8 54% 72–73 ✓
Yale @ Princeton +5.7 136.3 67% 62–73 ✓
South Dakota State @ Omaha -1.0 146.9 44% 85–77 ✓
South Dakota @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +11.1 146.7 87% 80–83 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +2.7 146.4 60% 78–65 ✗
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon +12.0 137.7 86% 76–79 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Northridge -0.9 157.1 39% 87–73 ✓
Austin Peay @ North Alabama +2.9 143.7 66% 87–79 ✗
Missouri @ Ole Miss +8.6 145.5 84% 76–79 ✓
Utah Valley @ Southern Utah -0.3 144.2 40% 78–75 ✓
San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount -5.6 140.2 26% 82–59 ✓
Pacific @ Gonzaga +24.2 153.9 91% 76–102 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -6.1 145.9 32% 66–65 ✓
Montana State @ Montana +6.7 143.0 73% 69–88 ✓
Arizona State @ Arizona +16.8 155.9 90% 60–105 ✓
Colorado @ USC -2.0 148.4 43% 92–89 ✓
Oregon @ Oregon State -6.7 139.8 23% 60–58 ✓
Wyoming @ San José State +1.9 139.4 54% 80–75 ✗
Santa Clara @ San Diego -4.6 148.9 32% 82–69 ✓
Portland @ Pepperdine +5.3 147.1 74% 70–91 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +14.2 141.3 88% 71–77 ✓
Nevada @ UNLV -0.9 138.7 42% 69–66 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ South Florida -3.7 145.5 41% 86–90 ✗
Wichita State @ Charlotte +7.4 134.7 81% 61–72 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Rhode Island -2.0 146.3 42% 77–67 ✓
Purdue @ Ohio State -6.8 145.0 29% 69–73 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Iona +6.2 129.7 72% 59–53 ✗
UTSA @ Temple +6.4 156.8 75% 77–83 ✓
Tulane @ East Carolina +0.4 148.4 62% 67–81 ✓
Bradley @ Northern Iowa -2.8 139.7 43% 63–74 ✗
Murray State @ Drake +10.8 139.6 86% 72–95 ✓
Belmont @ UIC -1.1 145.0 44% 75–60 ✓
Rider @ Manhattan -3.8 144.1 31% 104–62 ✓
Niagara @ Quinnipiac +6.4 150.9 75% 80–66 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Fairfield +3.9 143.7 70% 80–94 ✓
Canisius @ Siena -6.7 135.4 23% 73–64 ✓
Chattanooga @ Furman +2.6 156.8 62% 65–82 ✓
North Texas @ UAB +0.6 135.4 53% 62–71 ✓
Evansville @ Illinois State +3.3 133.2 67% 79–86 ✓
Northwestern @ Indiana -0.3 140.4 45% 76–72 ✓
Memphis @ SMU +5.6 154.1 75% 79–106 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's +5.2 140.2 67% 68–62 ✗
Rutgers @ Minnesota +2.4 138.2 63% 70–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.