Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | URI +188 LUC -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +10 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | LUC -2.3 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -2.7 (-7.3) | 147.0 (-3.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | LUC -2.0 (-8.0) | 146.3 (-2.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | LUC -1.5 (-8.5) | 145.1 (-1.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -2.1 (-7.9) | 147.0 (-3.0) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | LUC 61 – 57 URI |
| Jan 16, 2025 | LUC 81 – 77 URI |
| Mar 2, 2023 | URI 79 – 77 LUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-8 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#182) | 4.6 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#167) | 1.42 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#158) | 1.49 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#145) | 0.575 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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