Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | URI -485 LUC +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +4 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -18.3 (-22.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-27.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -15.6 (-19.6) | 139.5 (-21.5) | 87% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | URI -12.8 (-16.8) | 139.6 (-21.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | URI -14.7 (-18.7) | 140.9 (-22.9) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -15.3 (-19.3) | 141.5 (-23.5) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2025 | LUC 81 – 77 URI |
| Feb 18, 2024 | LUC 77 – 67 URI |
| Mar 2, 2023 | URI 79 – 77 LUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-6 | 6-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#114) | -10.3 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#104) | -2.09 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#100) | -3.09 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#130) | 0.384 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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