Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | LUC -175 URI +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +2 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | LUC -2.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -2.0 (-4.0) | 135.5 (+20.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -3.7 (-5.7) | 135.7 (+20.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -1.2 (-3.2) | 136.3 (+19.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -1.2 (-3.2) | 136.3 (+19.7) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | LUC 61 – 57 URI |
| Jan 16, 2025 | LUC 81 – 77 URI |
| Feb 18, 2024 | LUC 77 – 67 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-8 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#261) | -3.9 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#259) | -0.99 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#257) | -1.28 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#290) | 0.451 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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