I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Big East Conference · UBS Arena · February 18, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SJU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money SJU -250 / HALL +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total SJU win
Actual HALL +6 130 Lost
Massey SJU -6.8 (-12.8)
Massey Totals 145.2 (-15.2)
Bradley-Terry 64%
Weighted B-T 67%
Efficiency Plus ML SJU -5.2 (-11.2) 140.2 (-10.2) 67%
Baseline Tuned ML SJU -5.3 (-11.3) 142.6 (-12.6) 70%
Baseline ML SJU -5.2 (-11.2) 143.6 (-13.6) 72%
Baseline Plus ML SJU -4.8 (-10.8) 142.3 (-12.3) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2026 SJU 7868 HALL
Mar 7, 2026 SJU 7265 HALL
Jan 21, 2026 SJU 6560 HALL
Mar 1, 2025 SJU 7161 HALL
Jan 19, 2025 SJU 7951 HALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SJU HALL
Overall 20-13 25-12
Conference 11-9 13-7
Home 11-4 17-4
Away 6-7 5-6
Neutral 3-2 3-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 W5
Avg Pts For 78.8 73.8
Avg Pts Against 71.9 69.9
Massey 12.1 (#39) 8.7 (#66)
Bradley-Terry 1.43 (#70) 1.49 (#66)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.96 (#61) 1.92 (#62)
RPI 0.546 (#98) 0.554 (#88)
Shooting & Four Factors SJU HALL
FG% 44.0% 45.3%
3PT% 33.0% 32.0%
REB / G 39.4 38.3
OREB / G 15.0 12.8
AST / TO 1.32 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 50.1%
TOV% 16.6% 19.2%
ORB% 39.2% 37.5%
FT Rate 19.2% 24.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 48.7%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 17.7%
DRB% 68.9% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 25.6% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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