Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU +163 LIB -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +10 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -3.2 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -1.7 (+11.7) | 136.2 (+19.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -1.7 (+11.7) | 136.7 (+19.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -2.4 (+12.4) | 136.7 (+19.3) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -2.1 (+12.1) | 138.1 (+17.9) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | LIB 79 – 72 SHSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIB 82 – 74 SHSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIB 64 – 61 SHSU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 SHSU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | LIB 82 – 66 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#200) | 4.6 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#163) | 0.64 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#173) | 0.89 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#141) | 0.530 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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