Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -218 SHSU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -1.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -1.8 (+5.2) | 151.6 (-0.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -1.7 (+5.3) | 151.6 (-0.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -1.2 (+5.8) | 154.1 (-3.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -1.1 (+5.9) | 154.1 (-3.1) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIB 82 – 74 SHSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIB 64 – 61 SHSU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 SHSU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SHSU 83 – 73 LIB |
| Jan 21, 2024 | LIB 82 – 66 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-1 |
| Away | 11-3 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#122) | 4.3 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#80) | 0.69 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#93) | 0.89 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#45) | 0.554 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 27.8 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 5.4 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.1% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 18.5% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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