Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU +140 LIB -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -5.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -4.9 (-3.1) | 142.3 (+1.7) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -6.5 (-1.5) | 145.2 (-1.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -5.3 (-2.7) | 147.1 (-3.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -6.0 (-2.0) | 143.7 (+0.3) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | LIB 79 – 72 SHSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIB 82 – 74 SHSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIB 64 – 61 SHSU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SHSU 83 – 73 LIB |
| Jan 21, 2024 | LIB 82 – 66 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#181) | 8.1 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#189) | 1.76 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#166) | 2.79 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#165) | 0.566 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 58.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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