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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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85–32 on winners spread MAE 8.1 117 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Niagara @ Manhattan +1.7 140.8 52% 81–67 ✗
Iona @ Saint Peter's +0.3 124.7 45% 57–69 ✓
Fairfield @ Siena -9.7 136.6 15% 93–69 ✓
Canisius @ Mount St. Mary's +0.9 147.9 58% 69–74 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Toledo +12.1 153.3 85% 64–68 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +5.8 150.6 72% 84–88 ✓
Illinois @ Purdue +8.5 155.7 80% 78–83 ✓
Bowling Green @ Akron +11.6 139.2 85% 67–83 ✓
Boise State @ San José State -3.5 140.0 26% 78–69 ✓
Marquette @ Seton Hall -2.3 139.0 40% 75–78 ✗
North Carolina @ Clemson +2.6 153.4 58% 65–55 ✗
Howard @ North Carolina Central +1.6 145.6 65% 54–73 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Louisville -12.2 142.6 16% 83–70 ✓
Rutgers @ Iowa +6.5 149.2 75% 77–86 ✓
DePaul @ Georgetown +6.3 139.3 79% 65–68 ✓
Mississippi State @ South Carolina +1.3 133.2 59% 62–68 ✓
La Salle @ Fordham +5.5 148.9 75% 81–76 ✗
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire +0.2 147.5 56% 82–75 ✗
Kentucky @ Florida +2.5 162.7 54% 87–85 ✗
Holy Cross @ Army +6.3 129.5 73% 57–70 ✓
St. John's @ Villanova +3.7 139.7 69% 81–71 ✗
Colgate @ Navy -2.2 131.6 40% 80–72 ✓
Lafayette @ Boston University +8.2 126.7 72% 59–51 ✗
Georgia @ Missouri +5.1 145.7 68% 75–68 ✗
Saint Francis @ Wagner +5.7 129.6 65% 56–71 ✓
Mercer @ VMI -3.8 138.1 34% 86–64 ✓
Samford @ The Citadel -2.9 148.0 36% 80–64 ✓
Wright State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +7.6 160.7 74% 106–98 ✗
Milwaukee @ Detroit Mercy -7.9 141.7 22% 84–61 ✓
Bryant @ UMBC -5.1 163.2 30% 81–67 ✓
TCU @ Kansas +6.2 151.7 77% 81–83 ✓
West Virginia @ Houston +20.8 131.8 90% 55–89 ✓
Providence @ Creighton +9.5 141.1 83% 60–69 ✓
Auburn @ Arkansas -4.6 154.0 32% 83–51 ✓
Virginia @ NC State +2.8 130.7 64% 60–76 ✓
Tulane @ North Texas +8.7 142.3 78% 56–70 ✓
Murray State @ Evansville +5.5 143.3 68% 81–59 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Presbyterian -3.7 149.2 29% 84–80 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ High Point +7.3 148.7 82% 76–85 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Towson +1.1 137.6 56% 64–67 ✓
Drexel @ William & Mary -9.2 140.7 22% 77–55 ✓
Delaware @ Hofstra +4.5 143.5 71% 71–76 ✓
Campbell @ Hampton -0.7 136.5 42% 80–69 ✓
Jacksonville @ Stetson +6.9 146.4 78% 55–71 ✓
Saint Louis @ George Mason +10.7 143.6 85% 67–79 ✓
American University @ Bucknell +0.1 134.7 47% 71–63 ✗
Le Moyne @ Fairleigh Dickinson +1.1 150.0 48% 74–63 ✗
Long Island University @ Stonehill +3.0 141.4 66% 73–68 ✗
Dartmouth @ Pennsylvania +10.9 134.7 85% 51–80 ✓
Western Michigan @ Buffalo -0.1 141.1 52% 82–77 ✓
Central Michigan @ Ball State +10.0 137.8 82% 71–65 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Ohio +5.4 152.9 78% 66–78 ✓
Harvard @ Princeton +13.4 142.0 87% 58–89 ✓
Maine @ Vermont +8.8 133.5 83% 58–65 ✓
UAlbany @ NJIT -4.6 147.8 36% 79–73 ✓
McNeese @ East Texas A&M -11.6 136.6 15% 73–67 ✓
Nebraska @ Wisconsin +8.3 142.4 79% 72–88 ✓
Miami @ Wake Forest +2.9 153.1 69% 82–86 ✓
Baylor @ Oklahoma State -5.4 144.3 26% 75–70 ✓
James Madison @ Southern Miss -9.8 155.6 19% 71–81 ✗
UTSA @ Rice +5.5 150.7 68% 89–82 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Longwood +15.4 136.7 89% 56–77 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +6.8 133.4 72% 58–82 ✓
Green Bay @ Oakland +6.9 136.3 81% 73–79 ✓
North Dakota @ Northern Arizona +4.0 140.8 59% 73–74 ✓
Georgia Southern @ UL Monroe +3.4 135.2 53% 76–68 ✗
Old Dominion @ Arkansas State +5.4 151.4 73% 75–90 ✓
UT Arlington @ Stephen F. Austin +6.3 144.7 77% 73–92 ✓
Alabama @ Vanderbilt -12.3 159.4 14% 78–75 ✓
Kent State @ Eastern Michigan -8.9 148.4 21% 69–71 ✗
Alcorn State @ Jackson State +7.3 151.3 81% 80–88 ✓
Tennessee State @ Morehead State +8.6 144.2 84% 68–78 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Charlotte -8.0 136.1 27% 68–70 ✗
Stanford @ USC +5.0 152.0 73% 79–93 ✓
Boston College @ Georgia Tech +1.2 148.2 56% 95–87 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Florida State +0.0 138.6 52% 74–77 ✓
Missouri State @ Bradley +4.3 140.2 74% 60–86 ✓
UNLV @ San Diego State +11.8 143.6 87% 61–72 ✓
Duquesne @ Loyola Chicago -0.4 140.7 46% 67–72 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Richmond +0.0 135.3 44% 54–65 ✓
George Washington @ VCU +8.7 153.7 81% 84–82 ✗
Norfolk State @ South Carolina State -6.4 144.0 26% 79–72 ✓
Coppin State @ Delaware State +10.1 129.0 85% 53–55 ✓
East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro +3.7 139.5 70% 54–70 ✓
Wofford @ Western Carolina +4.8 151.1 72% 66–70 ✓
Georgia State @ South Alabama +4.5 145.9 71% 90–76 ✗
Lipscomb @ Bellarmine -5.4 144.2 27% 81–70 ✓
Southern Utah @ Utah Valley +5.7 142.0 75% 62–80 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Irvine +10.5 137.5 84% 71–74 ✓
Winthrop @ South Carolina Upstate -5.7 138.7 33% 82–80 ✓
Morgan State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +3.2 140.3 64% 74–75 ✓
Lindenwood @ Western Illinois +9.4 135.1 83% 57–68 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Little Rock +4.5 143.8 63% 90–88 ✗
App State @ Troy -1.3 149.0 49% 62–66 ✗
Nicholls @ Houston Christian -8.1 146.9 21% 98–94 ✓
Florida A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +4.5 141.1 77% 86–98 ✓
Lehigh @ Loyola Maryland -4.4 139.2 28% 88–76 ✓
North Dakota State @ Eastern Washington +10.7 147.5 85% 83–91 ✓
Marshall @ Texas State +0.9 136.1 51% 79–75 ✗
Queens University @ Kennesaw State +7.4 164.4 80% 77–80 ✓
Florida International @ Jacksonville State +7.8 135.4 78% 63–70 ✓
Montana State @ South Dakota State +6.4 145.1 75% 61–89 ✓
SE Louisiana @ New Orleans +0.2 139.3 42% 73–68 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Grambling -1.5 135.1 49% 63–69 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Sam Houston -4.6 137.7 38% 77–81 ✗
Ole Miss @ Tennessee +13.1 144.0 86% 64–90 ✓
Iowa State @ Oklahoma +1.1 141.2 63% 63–71 ✓
Duke @ Notre Dame -11.7 133.2 15% 67–59 ✓
Oregon State @ Washington +12.0 148.0 85% 72–79 ✓
UCF @ Kansas State +2.4 142.1 68% 52–77 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word -1.1 144.2 42% 75–65 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Abilene Christian +8.8 150.8 83% 89–91 ✓
California Baptist @ Seattle U +7.5 134.8 77% 46–48 ✓
Liberty @ Western Kentucky -1.8 139.3 51% 68–70 ✗
Texas Southern @ Southern +6.5 141.7 80% 51–58 ✓
Charleston @ Stony Brook -4.3 152.8 27% 93–87 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +4.1 155.4 64% 63–62 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.