But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–14 on winners spread MAE 9.7 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Temple @ South Florida +5.6 145.7 72% 68–76 ✓
Towson @ Monmouth +1.3 127.4 56% 43–51 ✓
Stony Brook @ Northeastern +5.0 143.9 70% 62–53 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Drexel +3.4 141.9 61% 63–78 ✓
Hampton @ Delaware +13.8 150.5 88% 53–80 ✓
Elon @ William & Mary +2.5 153.3 71% 70–77 ✓
Charleston @ Hofstra +5.3 150.9 65% 73–61 ✗
Campbell @ North Carolina A&T +0.3 138.6 46% 62–76 ✓
Penn State @ Michigan State +11.8 146.1 86% 61–92 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida Gulf Coast +4.6 138.1 72% 70–80 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Merrimack +9.1 144.6 83% 56–60 ✓
Wagner @ Long Island University -3.6 133.9 37% 67–69 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Stonehill -5.3 139.0 28% 74–59 ✓
Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky -1.2 143.3 43% 76–79 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Robert Morris +11.1 143.1 87% 48–92 ✓
Milwaukee @ Oakland +8.5 150.9 83% 95–100 ✓
Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy -5.8 130.6 27% 69–51 ✓
Cleveland State @ Wright State +0.9 156.7 52% 70–82 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Morehead State +11.5 138.8 85% 57–82 ✓
Old Dominion @ Troy +5.2 149.7 74% 73–86 ✓
North Florida @ Stetson +8.0 149.5 81% 74–75 ✓
Lipscomb @ Eastern Kentucky -6.0 150.2 31% 72–80 ✗
Memphis @ Tulsa -6.4 152.2 27% 78–75 ✓
James Madison @ Louisiana -4.1 153.2 31% 68–61 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Little Rock +2.6 148.2 59% 80–88 ✓
Georgia State @ Southern Miss +1.6 144.6 68% 73–79 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Texas State +8.4 137.8 76% 71–63 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State +8.9 146.9 80% 83–109 ✓
App State @ South Alabama -3.5 139.5 36% 91–84 ✓
UT Arlington @ Tarleton State +5.7 136.0 72% 76–78 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +2.5 132.4 65% 58–65 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southern Indiana -1.9 143.7 43% 67–69 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Western Illinois +9.4 142.9 85% 61–68 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Southern Utah -6.7 152.8 22% 96–75 ✓
Pepperdine @ Gonzaga +17.4 145.2 89% 60–86 ✓
Oregon @ Washington +5.3 153.3 69% 76–74 ✗
North Texas @ Wichita State -0.9 132.4 49% 74–62 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan +4.7 154.3 63% 73–71 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin +9.1 149.3 77% 79–72 ✗
UTEP @ New Mexico State +1.0 136.7 59% 53–63 ✓
Colorado @ Arizona +11.8 156.0 86% 50–97 ✓
San Francisco @ Pacific -16.0 131.5 12% 92–88 ✓
Utah Tech @ Seattle U +11.3 146.4 86% 53–70 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal Poly -7.1 145.8 23% 89–82 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Bakersfield -3.6 133.9 29% 78–67 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Riverside +0.9 133.6 55% 83–63 ✗
UC San Diego @ UC Santa Barbara +2.5 144.3 62% 79–72 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine +13.1 137.1 86% 67–75 ✓
Oregon State @ Washington State +14.4 135.7 87% 58–65 ✓
Utah @ Arizona State -5.3 147.0 32% 70–82 ✗
Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount +1.1 140.5 55% 68–57 ✗
Saint Mary's @ San Diego -9.2 136.0 16% 81–70 ✓
UConn @ Butler -4.2 148.7 30% 88–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.