Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -450 EIU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +7 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -11.7 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -9.1 (-16.1) | 149.3 (+1.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -8.6 (-15.6) | 147.1 (+3.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -9.0 (-16.0) | 147.1 (+3.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -8.8 (-15.8) | 149.8 (+1.2) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UTM 66 – 63 EIU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UTM 65 – 61 EIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UTM 72 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTM 68 – 63 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#187) | -8.3 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#176) | -2.86 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#184) | -3.72 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#167) | 0.405 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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