Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Under |
| Money | HOF -130 COFC +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +12 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -7.6 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -4.9 (-16.9) | 149.1 (-15.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -5.3 (-17.3) | 150.9 (-16.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -5.1 (-17.1) | 148.0 (-14.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -4.6 (-16.6) | 148.9 (-14.9) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HOF 66 – 62 COFC |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COFC 66 – 64 HOF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | COFC 67 – 61 HOF |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COFC 87 – 76 HOF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | HOF 85 – 81 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-9 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#99) | 1.7 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#129) | 1.02 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#123) | 1.21 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#98) | 0.573 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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