Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -500 HOF +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +4 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -7.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -6.3 (-10.3) | 146.7 (+19.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -6.4 (-10.4) | 149.4 (+16.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -6.9 (-10.9) | 145.9 (+20.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -6.8 (-10.8) | 146.0 (+20.0) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HOF 66 – 62 COFC |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COFC 66 – 64 HOF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | COFC 67 – 61 HOF |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COFC 87 – 76 HOF |
| Jan 5, 2024 | COFC 73 – 61 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 16-2 |
| Home | 17-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 11-2 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 66.9 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#67) | 3.9 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#6) | 0.94 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#17) | 1.21 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#29) | 0.570 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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