Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | HOF +100 COFC -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +6 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -0.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -0.3 (-5.7) | 142.8 (-14.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -0.6 (-6.6) | 141.5 (-13.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -0.0 (-6.0) | 138.1 (-10.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -0.1 (-5.9) | 141.3 (-13.3) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HOF 66 – 62 COFC |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COFC 66 – 64 HOF |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COFC 87 – 76 HOF |
| Jan 5, 2024 | COFC 73 – 61 HOF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | HOF 85 – 81 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#186) | 1.9 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#128) | 1.36 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#145) | 1.40 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#100) | 0.584 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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