Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -110 HOF -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +4 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -1.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -0.8 (-3.2) | 142.1 (-14.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -1.1 (-2.9) | 144.2 (-16.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -0.8 (-3.2) | 141.2 (-13.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -0.7 (-3.3) | 141.0 (-13.0) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | COFC 66 – 64 HOF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | COFC 67 – 61 HOF |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COFC 87 – 76 HOF |
| Jan 5, 2024 | COFC 73 – 61 HOF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | HOF 85 – 81 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#175) | 4.3 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#125) | 0.51 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#145) | 0.75 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#95) | 0.549 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.0% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.