Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -250 HOF +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +11 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -4.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -4.0 (+7.0) | 146.4 (+16.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -4.8 (+6.2) | 149.4 (+13.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -4.3 (+6.7) | 146.3 (+16.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -4.3 (+6.7) | 146.8 (+16.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HOF 66 – 62 COFC |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COFC 66 – 64 HOF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | COFC 67 – 61 HOF |
| Jan 5, 2024 | COFC 73 – 61 HOF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | HOF 85 – 81 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 10-2 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#110) | 3.6 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#90) | 0.62 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#99) | 0.95 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#77) | 0.550 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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