Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -162 COFC +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -7.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -5.7 (-7.7) | 149.4 (-19.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.9 (-6.9) | 147.3 (-17.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -5.1 (-7.1) | 147.3 (-17.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -4.9 (-6.9) | 148.8 (-18.8) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HOF 66 – 62 COFC |
| Jan 10, 2025 | COFC 67 – 61 HOF |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COFC 87 – 76 HOF |
| Jan 5, 2024 | COFC 73 – 61 HOF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | HOF 85 – 81 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#115) | -0.5 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#114) | 0.47 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#112) | 0.38 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#70) | 0.533 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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