I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Horizon League · Nutter Center · January 5, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -5.5 Home covered
O/U 161.5 Under
Money WRST -225 / CLE +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +12 152 Won
Massey WRST -3.0 (+9.0) — —
Massey Totals — 165.6 (-13.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 38% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 38% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -0.9 (+11.1) 156.7 (-4.7) 52% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -0.5 (+11.5) 156.9 (-4.9) 54% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -0.5 (+11.5) 159.6 (-7.6) 55% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -0.9 (+11.1) 157.7 (-5.7) 55% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 WRST 90 – 61 CLE
Feb 15, 2026 WRST 102 – 90 CLE
Jan 22, 2026 CLE 85 – 79 WRST
Feb 28, 2025 WRST 82 – 76 CLE
Dec 29, 2024 CLE 78 – 64 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST CLE
Overall 18-14 21-15
Conference 13-7 11-9
Home 9-7 14-3
Away 7-6 6-10
Neutral 2-1 1-2
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 86.2 74.7
Avg Pts Against 82.8 73.7
Massey -1.1 (#189) 0.3 (#161)
Bradley-Terry -0.67 (#239) 0.69 (#120)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.69 (#231) 0.77 (#125)
RPI 0.468 (#238) 0.520 (#142)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST CLE
FG% 51.9% 43.0%
3PT% 36.0% 37.5%
REB / G 33.3 36.6
OREB / G 9.8 13.4
AST / TO 1.14 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.7% 49.1%
TOV% 16.8% 16.6%
ORB% 30.2% 34.9%
FT Rate 21.9% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.4% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 20.7%
DRB% 73.5% 62.4%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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