Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU -135 UTEP +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +10 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | NMSU -1.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -1.0 (+9.0) | 140.9 (-24.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -1.0 (+9.0) | 136.7 (-20.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -1.7 (+8.3) | 139.7 (-23.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -1.0 (+9.0) | 140.6 (-24.6) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | NMSU 67 – 63 UTEP |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UTEP 91 – 88 NMSU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UTEP 66 – 63 NMSU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | NMSU 85 – 57 UTEP |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UTEP 74 – 49 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#279) | -3.7 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#277) | -0.68 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#267) | -0.76 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#256) | 0.456 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 24.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 36.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.4% | 40.1% |
Game Analysis
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