Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU -125 UTEP +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +3 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | NMSU -1.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -0.8 (-3.8) | 136.4 (-7.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -1.2 (-4.2) | 137.3 (-8.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -1.4 (-4.4) | 137.1 (-8.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -0.3 (-3.3) | 136.9 (-7.9) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | NMSU 67 – 63 UTEP |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UTEP 91 – 88 NMSU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | NMSU 85 – 57 UTEP |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UTEP 74 – 49 NMSU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | NMSU 63 – 53 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#172) | 1.1 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#165) | 0.83 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#153) | 0.48 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#164) | 0.544 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.