Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -225 NMSU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +25 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -5.7 (+19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -3.6 (+21.4) | 137.5 (-14.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -4.0 (+21.0) | 136.8 (-13.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -3.9 (+21.1) | 135.4 (-12.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -4.3 (+20.7) | 138.6 (-15.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | NMSU 67 – 63 UTEP |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UTEP 91 – 88 NMSU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UTEP 66 – 63 NMSU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | NMSU 85 – 57 UTEP |
| Jan 5, 2024 | NMSU 63 – 53 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#207) | -4.9 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#215) | -0.36 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#207) | -0.41 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#250) | 0.473 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 33.5% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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