Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -320 NMSU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +28 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -7.2 (-35.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -5.4 (-33.4) | 140.9 (+1.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -5.1 (-33.1) | 140.7 (+1.3) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -5.9 (-33.9) | 141.1 (+0.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -5.3 (-33.3) | 141.9 (+0.1) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | NMSU 67 – 63 UTEP |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UTEP 91 – 88 NMSU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UTEP 66 – 63 NMSU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UTEP 74 – 49 NMSU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | NMSU 63 – 53 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#117) | -0.5 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#76) | -0.15 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#100) | 0.03 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#76) | 0.497 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 28.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.9% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.7% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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