Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU -310 UTEP +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +4 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | NMSU -8.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -7.2 (-3.2) | 139.7 (-9.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -6.7 (-2.7) | 139.9 (-9.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -5.9 (-1.9) | 140.4 (-10.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -7.0 (-3.0) | 140.5 (-10.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UTEP 91 – 88 NMSU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UTEP 66 – 63 NMSU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | NMSU 85 – 57 UTEP |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UTEP 74 – 49 NMSU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | NMSU 63 – 53 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#159) | -5.4 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#221) | -1.07 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#185) | -1.24 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#218) | 0.463 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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