Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | OAK -220 MILW +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +5 | 195 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -14.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+38.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -8.5 (-3.5) | 150.9 (+44.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -10.5 (-5.5) | 151.9 (+43.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -11.2 (-6.2) | 152.9 (+42.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -10.7 (-5.7) | 152.2 (+42.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | OAK 81 – 70 MILW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | OAK 73 – 60 MILW |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OAK 72 – 64 MILW |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MILW 71 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OAK 65 – 49 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#118) | -6.6 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#110) | -0.80 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#106) | -1.60 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#70) | 0.457 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.