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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
35–11 on winners
spread MAE 8.2
46 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-0.9 | 122.3 | 39% | 47–52 | ✗ |
|
|
+15.1 | 126.3 | 86% | 53–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.9 | 142.3 | 62% | 71–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.7 | 157.5 | 89% | 73–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.5 | 142.8 | 55% | 85–71 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.7 | 139.5 | 44% | 68–61 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.5 | 136.1 | 83% | 72–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.7 | 133.6 | 88% | 53–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.3 | 129.5 | 60% | 60–62 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.5 | 143.1 | 53% | 66–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.4 | 139.4 | 35% | 72–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.3 | 149.2 | 64% | 119–113 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.7 | 150.9 | 67% | 61–80 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.4 | 147.4 | 26% | 74–78 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.2 | 142.7 | 59% | 80–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+11.9 | 135.0 | 84% | 55–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.4 | 133.8 | 82% | 58–70 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.4 | 136.5 | 39% | 80–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.3 | 153.8 | 71% | 68–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.7 | 149.4 | 88% | 85–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.4 | 134.6 | 77% | 69–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.2 | 157.2 | 84% | 74–89 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.0 | 141.6 | 28% | 68–57 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.1 | 148.8 | 59% | 82–95 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.5 | 134.9 | 25% | 86–61 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.4 | 142.4 | 39% | 96–86 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.4 | 151.9 | 45% | 97–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.6 | 139.3 | 69% | 55–81 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.8 | 150.2 | 22% | 93–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.7 | 139.1 | 79% | 65–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.9 | 136.8 | 61% | 59–53 | ✗ |
|
|
-3.6 | 135.7 | 29% | 54–52 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.3 | 155.8 | 80% | 59–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.5 | 142.6 | 61% | 64–62 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.3 | 148.5 | 78% | 70–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.8 | 134.3 | 66% | 89–78 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.6 | 136.0 | 52% | 64–67 | ✗ |
|
|
-4.8 | 130.7 | 28% | 75–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.9 | 141.0 | 85% | 73–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.1 | 147.6 | 83% | 82–95 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.6 | 146.5 | 62% | 82–76 | ✗ |
|
|
+12.2 | 155.9 | 86% | 74–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.9 | 142.4 | 89% | 47–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.8 | 138.8 | 73% | 67–79 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.8 | 146.3 | 27% | 85–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.1 | 132.8 | 49% | 84–68 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.