Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU +110 MONT -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +10 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -1.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+34.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -1.4 (-8.6) | 142.4 (+39.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -0.5 (-9.5) | 144.1 (+37.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -1.2 (-8.8) | 144.9 (+37.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -0.6 (-9.4) | 144.2 (+37.8) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | NDSU 81 – 72 MONT |
| Nov 17, 2023 | NDSU 78 – 69 MONT |
| Dec 11, 2022 | MONT 82 – 75 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#250) | 1.4 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#234) | 0.44 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#240) | 0.69 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#191) | 0.570 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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