Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU +130 MONT -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +7 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -1.1 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -0.2 (-7.2) | 135.6 (+21.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -0.3 (-6.7) | 136.5 (+20.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -0.5 (-6.5) | 137.2 (+19.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -0.8 (-6.2) | 135.2 (+21.8) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | NDSU 81 – 72 MONT |
| Jan 4, 2024 | MONT 96 – 86 NDSU |
| Nov 17, 2023 | NDSU 78 – 69 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#276) | 0.7 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#312) | -0.30 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#312) | -0.11 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#221) | 0.483 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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