Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -365 NDSU +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +9 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -13.8 (-22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -6.4 (-15.4) | 138.8 (+8.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -8.1 (-17.1) | 140.2 (+6.8) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -9.3 (-18.3) | 140.4 (+6.6) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -9.3 (-18.3) | 136.9 (+10.1) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | NDSU 81 – 72 MONT |
| Jan 4, 2024 | MONT 96 – 86 NDSU |
| Dec 11, 2022 | MONT 82 – 75 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#134) | -2.4 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#94) | -0.33 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#83) | -0.84 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.812 (#13) | 0.478 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 41.8% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 12.2% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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