Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SAC -125 KC +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -0.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -0.6 (+3.6) | 136.0 (-5.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -0.4 (+2.6) | 136.8 (-5.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KC -0.0 (+3.0) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -0.0 (+3.0) | 136.2 (-5.2) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-24 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#319) | -5.6 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#330) | -1.47 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#322) | -1.76 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#340) | 0.450 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 24.9% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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